Daily Archives: November 13, 2008

Just Tell the Truth

schultz-starbucksThe media metaphors were flying after Starbucks’ latest quarterly announcement:

“Starbucks Cools Way Off”

“Starbucks Losing Its Buzz”

“Starbucks’ Bitter Results”

And yet, in the obligatory press release, CEO Howard Schultz put a positive spin on what was unequivocally a horrendous quarter. The big question, of course, is should he have done that or not? Let’s first take a look at his quotes from the release:

“With a re-architected cost structure at the close of fiscal 2008, we began the new fiscal year with a healthier store portfolio that will allow for operating margin expansion,” commented Howard Schultz, chairman, president and ceo. “Despite a global economic environment which shows no immediate signs of improvement, the steps we took in FY08 position us to deliver EPS growth in FY09.”

Schultz continued, “We appear to be more resilient than many other premium brands. And while we cannot call isolated signs of improving sales a trend, we are encouraged by our ability to drive increased traffic at a relatively low cost, as we did on Election Day. As we head into the holiday season and Calendar ‘09, consumers are looking for value and we’ve been pleased with the steady progress of our Starbucks Rewards program and the enthusiastic reception to the Starbucks Gold Card. I am optimistic we are well positioned to weather this challenging economic environment.”

While I applaud most of Schultz’s efforts, the last line of both paragraphs seems a bit over-the-top. I’m not sure any retail companies should be optimistic that they’re well positioned to weather this economic environment, let alone one that’s several quarters into an attempted turnaround.

In contrast, Fortune editor at large Patricia Sellers had this to say in her post “Starbucks’ Schultz needs to get real:”

“Starbucks CEO Howard Schultz needs less optimism and a stronger dose of reality in his brew.”

“The entrepreneurial optimism and clever marketing that Schultz used to create one of the world’s best brands now seems to be interfering with Starbucks’ turnaround.”

Investors didn’t seem to agree with Schultz’s optimism, driving down Starbucks’ already depressed shares another ten percent.

As a former marketing executive with more than his share of communications experience, I take a decidedly pragmatic view of positioning, messaging and spin. Of course, company and product positioning should be positive, but only if it meets these five criteria:

It must be true, omissions notwithstanding
It must be straightforward and crisp
It must be ethically unchallengeable
It must be credible, which means that big elephants in the room should be dealt with in a proactive manner or it won’t pass the laugh test
It can’t come back to haunt you later
Just to be clear, I don’t hold morals and ethics above business success. Rather, I consider them necessary for business success. In my experience, if positioning doesn’t meet these criteria, there is a high probability of it backfiring and actually harming the company’s brand.

Most executives have a relatively straightforward time with the first three criteria, but it’s the last two that trip them up.

In the case of Starbucks’ announcement, I think Schultz could have dealt more effectively with the elephant in the room – namely a prolonged and challenging turnaround during a brutal market climate. And because he didn’t, it might come back to haunt him later, depending on Starbucks’ performance in subsequent quarters. My tone would have been more on the neutral side, but that’s just me. What do you think?

Courtesy of BNET.

New Insights On Time-of-Day for E-Mail

The research from the Center for Media Design provides a customer perspective that makes the marketer in me start to salivate. No matter how many statistics we collect on response rates or how often we survey email users, we simply cannot collect the type of information that the researchers at Ball State have collected. They have a field research team that follows consumers for a full day and records how they interact with different forms of media in 15-second increments. Throughout the day, observers record what media participants are using, where they use it, and for how long.

This life-in-the-day view of consumers provides a new perspective on the time of day question that I believe is relevant as we think about what messages should be sent when. Here is a short list of the observations made about the way consumers interact with email throughout the course of the day:

 

  • Email engagement peaks in the morning. Many users, myself included, start their day by rifling through their email inboxes. Mornings allow email users to spend uninterrupted time in their inbox. 

     

  • In-out-in-out in the afternoon. As the day progresses, users tend to have more fractured interactions with email. Email is checked intermittently throughout the day between meetings and errands. Thus, in the afternoon, there are more email episodes (any time users check into their email inbox), but those episodes are shorter in duration. Between 2 p.m. and 3 p.m., users are likely to have five individual episodes of 3-5 minutes apiece, compared to the 8 a.m. to 9 a.m. period when users are more likely to have a single episode that is substantially longer. 

     

  • Overall time in the inbox is fairly consistent throughout the workday. Between the hours of 8 a.m. and 3 p.m., email makes up between 30% and 35% of the average user’s media exposure. This drops off during the late afternoon and early evening, only to peak again in the late evening (between 8 p.m. and 9 p.m.) as users go back to their inboxes to wrap up the day. 

    This behavioral view of how consumers interact with email at different times of the day may help us address what types of email messages are right for different times of the day. Assuming you send more than one type of email message (e.g., newsletters and promotional mailings) the best time for one is not likely to be the best time for the other. Fewer interruptions and more continuous time spent in the email inbox makes mornings a more logical choice for the delivery of newsletters and long copy emails that require more time for the subscriber to read. Alternatively, promotions or invitations to attend a seminar may make more sense later in the day as people are in “quick-hit” mode.

    While this information still will not definitively answer the question about the best time of day to send for your program, it is worth serious consideration as you start to design that next time-of-day test.

    To get a copy of the study along with the chart on email reach and episodes per day, grab a copy of the Messaging Behaviors, Preferences, and Personas Whitepaper.